Hot Air Predictions

Travel & dodgy internet connections have kept me from blogging... But they haven't kept me from the election and, unfortunately, from right-wingers furiously spinning an alternate reality where McCain is on course for victory.

Jon Swift tells all with his posts on Why John McCain will win and hidden-Obama-horror-stories.

To add to the madness, I wanted to bring you this poll from Michelle Malin's Hot Air, showing how its readers think the election is going to break:-


79% think McCain will be the next POTUS. We'll find out for sure soon enough - although I'm not sure many will share this level of Hot Air optimism:-

The GOP will gain the lead in house.
I told you so.
I’m betting they will on Intrade.com
I will make money.
Period.
Mcguyver on October 30, 2008 at 2:19 PM

Or this:

The deal is that republicans are voting down the line republican.
We are coming out in large droves to prevent an Obama presidency.
That means republicans can gain in the House, Senate, and win the White House.
jencab on October 30, 2008 at 2:21 PM

And especially this from stonemeister:

McCain may really be up by 20% or more... The “hang-up” percentage, or people who refuse to be polled, is over 85%, which is historically high. This means there is no way to assume the sample is statistically valid. It all depends on the make-up of the 85%. So we have to figure out the motives for the hang-ups. Now we’re not talking probability and statistics, by forensic psychology... Why would anyone not want to participate in a telephone poll?

In case you are wondering, it's because people might feel guilty saying "McCain" for various reasons (*cough* race), or - always my favorite - real working people (Republicans!) are too busy for polls...

That probably accounts for the vast majority of those hang-ups. How do those poll results look to you now? Instead of Obama ahead by 1 to 3%, he might really be behind by 20-30%!

Riiight.

And so to Tuesday. Are the polls accurate? Are there really more Democrats than Republicans? Is America really ready for a black president, or will millions of Americans get into those booths and say "not quite yet"? Who would blame them if they did just that, and voted for McCain instead of Obama? After all, Obama just might be an arab muslim socialist terrorist. We can't be entirely sure he isn't, right?

I mean, at least with McCain/Palin, you know exactly what you're gonna get, right? I mean, we've had people like them in charge for the past eight years. So what could possibly go wrong!?

Obama Wins? Israel Bombs Iran

The aptly named Moonbattery.com tells its readers:

Don't eat that bottle of sleeping pills just yet. From November 1, 2004:

Rather than calming its far-right readers, tho, this simple reminder that the election ain't over til it's over brings out some wonderful commentary which surely deserves a wider audience.

First up, a eye-popping prediction. Set your watches for World War III:

"...if Obama wins, Israel will attack Iran before Bush leaves office. That will set up a firestorm response where Iran attack not only Israel in response, but the Saudi oil fields and Iraq in response. While Bush would likely not participate in an Israeli attack against Irans nuclear facilities using US planes they would probably give Israel air and satellite surveilance data to increase the chances of success of the mission - and maybe some bunker buster bombs once they realized they were going ahead any way despite Bush's objections. Last year Israel bombed Syria's unfinished nuclear facility, so I would seem likely that Israel would not count on delaying an attack until after Obama takes office. If McCain pulls out a suprise win, then they could afford to delay any attack for another year or so." - Posted by: Anonymous at October 13, 2008 6:36 AM

Meanwhile, "V the K" calls McCain

"a moderate leftist"

and Spurwing reminds us that polls aren't always to be trusted anyway, 'cause billionaire media owners are all communists (except Rupert)

"Can you realy ever trust any polls taken by CNN/TIME or any of the other liberal news agencies? especialy if its owned by RED TED TURNER and other soclaists scum"

Finally, totally-not-gay "menareawesome" gets over-excited and has to go to bed half an hour earlier than usual:

"Ok all you real men, please do not kill yourself, we will need you in the comming war against communism! Why shoot yourself when you can shoot at the enemy instead?

What is a good way to rehabilitate metrosexual sissies? WAR! No time for hair gel and ipods in the foxhole."

Totally. Not. Gay.