Hot Air Predictions

Travel & dodgy internet connections have kept me from blogging... But they haven't kept me from the election and, unfortunately, from right-wingers furiously spinning an alternate reality where McCain is on course for victory.

Jon Swift tells all with his posts on Why John McCain will win and hidden-Obama-horror-stories.

To add to the madness, I wanted to bring you this poll from Michelle Malin's Hot Air, showing how its readers think the election is going to break:-


79% think McCain will be the next POTUS. We'll find out for sure soon enough - although I'm not sure many will share this level of Hot Air optimism:-

The GOP will gain the lead in house.
I told you so.
I’m betting they will on Intrade.com
I will make money.
Period.
Mcguyver on October 30, 2008 at 2:19 PM

Or this:

The deal is that republicans are voting down the line republican.
We are coming out in large droves to prevent an Obama presidency.
That means republicans can gain in the House, Senate, and win the White House.
jencab on October 30, 2008 at 2:21 PM

And especially this from stonemeister:

McCain may really be up by 20% or more... The “hang-up” percentage, or people who refuse to be polled, is over 85%, which is historically high. This means there is no way to assume the sample is statistically valid. It all depends on the make-up of the 85%. So we have to figure out the motives for the hang-ups. Now we’re not talking probability and statistics, by forensic psychology... Why would anyone not want to participate in a telephone poll?

In case you are wondering, it's because people might feel guilty saying "McCain" for various reasons (*cough* race), or - always my favorite - real working people (Republicans!) are too busy for polls...

That probably accounts for the vast majority of those hang-ups. How do those poll results look to you now? Instead of Obama ahead by 1 to 3%, he might really be behind by 20-30%!

Riiight.

And so to Tuesday. Are the polls accurate? Are there really more Democrats than Republicans? Is America really ready for a black president, or will millions of Americans get into those booths and say "not quite yet"? Who would blame them if they did just that, and voted for McCain instead of Obama? After all, Obama just might be an arab muslim socialist terrorist. We can't be entirely sure he isn't, right?

I mean, at least with McCain/Palin, you know exactly what you're gonna get, right? I mean, we've had people like them in charge for the past eight years. So what could possibly go wrong!?

Palin storms SNL

"Sarah Palin’s debut on SNL was disappointing. The satire was extremely one sided, mean spirited and humorless last night, and took the fun out of it. In spite of that and the fact that Lorne Michaels stacked the deck by surrounding Sarah Palin with some of Hollywood’s most hateful leftists, she, unlike the angry Tina Fey and company, proved that she is a class act. She hit yet another home run." - sinsing, comment at HotAir, 19 Oct



HuffPost's list of previous Fey sketches:
Tina Fey as Sarah Palin With Hillary Clinton
Tina Fey as Sarah Palin With Katie Couric
Tina Fey as Sarah Palin in the VP debate
Tina Fey talks about Sarah Palin's voice to David Letterman

Crazy McCain Lady

SNL's debate special did a fun turn on Crazy McCain Lady, aka 75 year old Gayle Quinell. She says she got her information about Obama being an "arab" (and a "terrorist") from a fellow volunteer at a McCain Campaign office. Nice.

Meanwhile, Sarah Palin is lined up to appear live on SNL this weekend. Given that her handlers won't let her watch TV by herself in case she gets depressed, that seems like a terrible move.

Over at pro-McCain Hot Air, commenters are divided on the idea. Outlander veers off into the eighth dimension of whackory:

"Assuming SNL doesn’t stick the knife in Palin again, this could be a good opportunity for her. Palin’s job now is to rebuild her reputation so she can run against Obama in 2012. Poking fun at Fey’s impersonation is a good way of lightening its negative effect on her reputation. So, if she’s able to do THAT, then it’s worth it. If her appearance will only serve to reinforce the negative stereotype, she should avoid the appearnace.

Along those same lines, when will Palin stop coordinating with McCain and completely run out on her own? Hit Obama with Wright and Ayers and being a crazy socialist… Go on Rush and Fox News and talk radio… Express a vision for the country and a serious political philosophy… This is all about her now."

JustTruth101 disagrees:

"Live on the air the SNL crew... will do the skit from the version that the real Sarah never saw... and it will skewer her. There might even be a joke about the difference between her brain and her womb, but the setup in the REAL Sarah’s skit will be nothing even remotely like that, but her answer will be something that makes all special needs children look bad, or will make her look crass and uncaring... This is a TERRIBLE idea... I can’t believe she’s going to do this. If they could get away with it, they would shower her with pig blood like Carrie."

Pigs blood!? Quick - does anyone have NBC's phone number!?

Being stuck in Britland, I've never watched a full episode of SNL. I didn't even think I wanted to, 'til I read this from SaintOlaf in the same thread:

"SNL is definitely the most bigoted, Christian persecuting, television show on the air today... Pure liberal atheist garbage."

I'd buy that for a dollar...

Palin: Doing It For Trig

Sarah Palin's job is to rally The Base. It's not her job to "think", or be "coherent", or even make sense.

Here's what she said to the Wall Street Journal:

“We shouldn’t worry about government not having enough money. Government’s got plenty of money,” she said. “It’s a matter of how government prioritizes the expenditures of those public dollars."

Way to go Sarah... Spoken like a true Conservative. No wonder those redski's Bill Buckley and Kathleen Parker want nothing to do with you... Go girl!

Then there's this, from a fluff piece about Baby Trig:

"Part of the reason that I'm doing this is for my own child, who has special needs"

Right. The exact thing her downs syndrome child needs and wants, like any six month old, is her mother to stand for Vice President of the United States, whoring him for votes.

Who doesn't go goo-goo over a baby? I know I do. Don't you!?

But wait... Why all this positive coverage of Sarah all of a sudden? Over at Hot Air, commenter Sapwolf wonders if it isn't part of some dastardly plot:

"First the Batman clip, and now this one... Could AP be diverting our attention from polls showing McCain catching up?... Hmmmmm?"

Much more of this paranoia, and these idiots will eat each other out of existence...